USD/JPY Analysis June 21, 2023

USD/JPY Analysis June 21, 2023
Create at 10 months ago (Jun 21, 2023 11:10)

Japan continues to maintain monetary easing measures.

In recent years, Japan has been grappling with deflationary pressures. However, with the global rise in inflation due to factors such as oil prices and other consumer goods, Japan sees this as an opportunity to generate inflation through special monetary easing policies. It is believed that Japan has achieved some success with these policies. However, it is necessary to closely monitor the situation and prevent uncontrollable inflation.


The next announcement of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is scheduled for June 23, with the forecast adjusted to 4.1%. This indicates a further increase in inflation compared to the previous announcement of 3.5%.


Haruhiko Kuroda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), stated that the BOJ would wait and assess the impact and side effects of the monetary policies that diverge from those of other countries, in order to combat over 25 years of deflation. Kuroda announced a plan for review in April, but provided few details at that time.


Furthermore, he expressed his opinion on the inflation trend, stating, "We expect the inflation trend to accelerate as economic activities continue to improve and the labor market tightens further. However, there is great uncertainty in negotiations for wage increases next year and in the sustainability of the wage hikes."


Furthermore, he stated, "We expect the inflation rate to decelerate. Although it is true that this deceleration is proceeding slowly, we are still in the early stages of this deceleration, and there is uncertainty as to whether the inflation rate will gradually decelerate in the future or decelerate sharply."


Seiji Adachi, a member of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, mentioned that it is premature to consider tightening monetary policy due to the uncertainty surrounding price trends. He argued against prematurely shifting from the easing policy towards a policy of controlling the yield curve, as consumer inflation in Japan is accelerating faster than initially anticipated. The risk to price trends could lean towards the downside in the long term due to the increased fragility of the global economy.


The BOJ announced the outcome of their policy meeting, stating that the BOJ would continue its highly accommodative monetary easing policy to support the ongoing economic recovery in Japan, which remains vulnerable. Additionally, the BOJ maintains its Yield Curve Control policy, in which it sets a short-term interest rate target at -0.1% and a 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield target at 0%, as before.

Technical analysis data (5H)

Resistance: 141.45, 141.54, 141.61

Support: 141.28, 141.22, 141.12

USD/JPY Analysis todaySource: Investing.com
 
Pivot Points June 21, 2023 10:58 AM GMT+7
 
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 141.12 141.22 141.28 141.38 141.45 141.54 141.61
Fibonacci 141.22 141.28 141.32 141.38 141.44 141.48 141.54
Camarilla 141.30 141.31 141.33 141.38 141.35 141.37 141.38
Woodie's 141.10 141.21 141.26 141.37 141.43 141.53 141.59
DeMark's - - 141.32 141.40 141.49 - -

Buy/Long 1: If the price touches the support level in the range of 141.22 - 141.28 but fails to break above 141.28, you may consider setting a TP around 141.54 and a SL around 141.12, or adjust them according to your acceptable risk level.

 

Buy/Long 2: If you are able to break above the resistance level in the range of 141.45 - 141.54, you may consider setting a TP around 141.61 and a SL around 141.22, or adjust them based on your acceptable risk level.

 

Sell/Short 1: If the price touches the resistance level in the range of 141.45 - 141.54 but fails to break below 141.45, you may consider setting a TP around 141.22 and a SL around 141.61, or adjust them based on your acceptable risk level.


Sell/Short 2: If you are able to break below the support level in the range of 141.22 - 141.28, you may consider setting a TP around 141.12 and a SL around 141.54, or adjust them based on your acceptable risk level.

 
Technical Indicators June 21, 2023 10:58 AM GMT+7
 
Name Value Action
RSI(14) 58.737 Buy
STOCH(9,6) 34.873 Sell
STOCHRSI(14) 32.820 Sell
MACD(12,26) 0.360 Buy
ADX(14) 22.592 Neutral
Williams %R -43.835 Buy
CCI(14) -25.0077 Neutral
ATR(14) 0.4439 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 0.0000 Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator 40.928 Sell
ROC 0.411 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 0.1180 Buy

Buy:5

Sell:3

Neutral:3

Summary:BUY

______________________________
Maximize your knowledgeBlog
Keep up to date on global events:News
Explore in-depth analysis: Analysis
Tags:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

ARTICLES