Bitcoin Analysis August 11, 2023

Bitcoin Analysis August 11, 2023
Create at 8 months ago (Aug 11, 2023 17:28)

Bitcoin still remains highly volatile.

Bitcoin has slightly retreated after surging to around $32,000 USD and has begun to consolidate around the support levels of $28,000 - $30,000 USD over the past 2-3 weeks. Bitcoin has been under pressure from continuous inflation rates following the recent announcement by the Federal Reserve (FED). The inflation rate has risen to 3.2% from 3.0% in the previous month. Additionally, there's anticipation regarding the decision to establish Spot ETFs by the SEC. There is significant interest in setting up a Bitcoin ETF, and those involved in creating Bitcoin ETFs hold a positive outlook that the ETF establishment will indeed happen.


The cryptocurrency trading volume in the United States can be estimated at around 99.5% of the global trading volume. It is predicted that if Bitcoin ETFs are successfully launched, it will lead to a substantial increase in trading volume and provide investors with further opportunities to diversify their risk, according to an analysis by Bloomberg ETF.


James Seyffart, an ETF analyst, stated, "The SEC's decision on ARK's Bitcoin ETF is likely to come tomorrow, even though the official deadline is set for August 13th, which falls on a Sunday, implying a decision could come a day before. This could signify that the SEC might allow other companies to establish ETFs in the very near future as well."


Although the price of Bitcoin has been relatively consistent, data from Santiment reveals that the latest usage of BTC over the period of seven to ten years has increased to 1.088 million BTC, which accounts for 5.6% of the total circulating supply. This data, surveyed most recently in July, could reflect perspectives on Bitcoin's future, whether it's in terms of price or the development of Bitcoin itself.


Information from IntoTheBlock's Balance, utilizing the Holdings Indicator, which measures the overall quantity of held cryptocurrencies, indicates that the whales that have accumulated Bitcoin have a positive outlook on Bitcoin's future. This consistent accumulation signals positive changes in the market and suggests that major investors anticipate a price increase. On the other hand, individual retail investors should be cautious about accumulating excessively, as short-term volatility might arise.


Regarding the Bitcoin Greed and Fear Index, which measures investor sentiment, the latest data from Matrixport shows an index increase from 30% to 60%. This is still lower than the levels seen in July, which were above 90%. Despite the increase in the Greed and Fear Index, Bitcoin's price hasn't surged significantly. This suggests that there are still factors at play that need to be monitored, and investors are refraining from going all-in at the moment.

Techical analysis data (5H)

Resistance: 29445.4, 29512.7, 29552.4

Support: 29338.4, 29298.7, 29231.4

 

Bitcoin Analysis todaySource: Investing.com

 

Pivot Points June August 11, 2023 05:21 PM GMT+7
 
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 29231.4 29298.7 29338.4 29405.7 29445.4 29512.7 29552.4
Fibonacci 29298.7 29339.6 29364.8 29405.7 29446.6 29471.8 29512.7
Camarilla 29348.6 29358.4 29368.2 29405.7 29387.8 29397.6 29407.4
Woodie's 29217.6 29291.8 29324.6 29398.8 29431.6 29505.8 29538.6
DeMark's - - 29318.5 29395.8 29425.5 - -

Buy/Long 1: If the price touches the support range of 29298.7 - 29338.4 but fails to break above 29338.4, you might consider setting a TP around 29512.7 and a SL around 29231.4 or based on your acceptable risk level.

 

Buy/Long 2: If the price successfully breaks the resistance zone of 29445.4 - 29512.7, you could set a TP around 29552.4 and an SL around 29298.7 or according to your acceptable risk level.

 

Sell/Short 1: If the price reaches the resistance range of 29445.4 - 29512.7 but cannot break below 29445.4, you could contemplate setting a TP around 29298.7 and an SL around 29552.4 or based on your acceptable risk level.


Sell/Short 2: If the price manages to break below the support range of 29298.7 - 29338.4, you might consider setting a TP around 29231.4 and an SL around 29512.7 or according to your acceptable risk level.

 

Technical Indicators August 11, 2023 05:21 PM GMT+7
 
Name Value Action
RSI(14) 47.098 Neutral
STOCH(9,6) 96.769 Overbought
STOCHRSI(14) 0.000 Oversold
MACD(12,26) 21.600 Buy
ADX(14) 27.110 Neutral
Williams %R -4.398 Overbought
CCI(14) -118.4172 Sell
ATR(14) 231.6429 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) -167.4286 Sell
Ultimate Oscillator 40.305 Sell
ROC -1.345 Sell
Bull/Bear Power(13) -207.6620 Sell

Buy:1

Sell:5

Neutral:2

Summary:Sell

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